Structural scenarios have been developed for the foresight exercise in which we try to generate ideas about the future for the environment that we know our cognitive constraints are prominent; we know very little about the drivers that may shape the environment.
Principle
The idea is to generate as many different structures as possible based on the key drivers of uncertainty. When the potential behaviors of these structures are analyzed, the outcome is that very different drivers shape similar structures, and different structures lead to similar type of behavior. In our Game Changers scenario building, we started with 97 drivers of change, designed 16 different structures that led to three different behavior scenarios for the global economic system.