According to the recently adopted United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, every country has to “Make cities inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable.” This policy simulation game aims at generating ideas on how to do just that.
THE WORLD AFTER COVID-19: How to improve resilience during the crisis? The Coronavirus crisis revealed how important resilience is for countries and global systems. In this document we outline concrete means for building resilience against multifaceted uncertainties that the pandemic has triggered in the global system. The approach is based on the analysis of low probability [...]
Social Mood Indicator Social Mood Indicator is an additional measure on the dashboard of the decision makers. SMI shows at a glance what is the situation in nation/organization/customers. Social mood is an endogenous feature of a social system and it is hard, or even impossible to change. But it is essential to understand the situation [...]
Resilience Planning for “unknown unknowns” is in principle a challenge to the imagination; we have to systematically extend our understanding by pushing the borders of our existing thinking outward from our current perception of what is relevant, what is logical, what is causal. Principles: We apply four design principles in our Resilience Portfolio method. In [...]
Uncertainty Scan Uncertainty focused Delphi has been developed for scanning for potentially disruptive drivers of the operating environment. This is a major difference to the traditional Delphi study that focuses on looking for a consensus of the expert panel about future developments. Principle The web-based scan collects all the potential drivers of the operating environment [...]
Structural scenarios have been developed for the foresight exercise in which we try to generate ideas about the future for the environment that we know our cognitive constraints are prominent; we know very little about the drivers that may shape the environment. Principle The idea is to generate as many different structures as possible based [...]
The current strategy of the organization is based on the situation of the operating environment and uses the existing strengths and capabilities as a starting point. In most of the organizations, megatrends-based foresight exercise has been included in the strategy process. If, for some reason, there is a lot of uncertainty about the trend [...]
