The current strategy of the organization is based on the situation of the operating environment and uses the existing strengths and capabilities as a starting point. In most of the organizations, megatrends-based foresight exercise has been included in the strategy process. If, for some reason, there is a lot of uncertainty about the trend behavior or there are some potentially important, but still low probability, developments on the horizon the sensitivity assessment is needed.

Principle

The basic assumptions of the current strategy are identified and then challenged by the key uncertainties of the operating environment. The usefulness of the existing strategy is assessed in different environments derived by key uncertainties.