According to the recently adopted United Nations Sustainable Development Goals, every country has to “Make cities inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable.” This policy simulation game aims at generating ideas on how to do just that.
THE WORLD AFTER COVID-19: How to improve resilience during the crisis? The Coronavirus crisis revealed how important resilience is for countries and global systems. In this document we outline concrete means for building resilience against multifaceted uncertainties that the pandemic has triggered in the global system. The approach is based on the analysis of low probability [...]
The anticipation of an X-event is a bit like weather-forecasting. We take the drivers of atmospheric change, quantities like temperature, air pressure, humidity, wind velocities and the like, and use mathematical equations governing the change of these quantities to come up with a forecast like, “twenty percent chance of rain tomorrow.” Here we might think [...]
There are two principle ways to approach resilience measurement; either to try to collect information about as many functions as possible in an organization or to use an indicator that will reflect how an organization is going to manage an unexpected event. Read more
How do different scientific disciplines contribute to the understanding of phenomena driven by mass psychology? See Presentation by Thomas Bruderman
Improving efficiency may prove to be a harmful strategy in a global environment that is full of sudden twists, surprises, and shocks. In this situation decision makers have two alternative strategies; either invest in anticipation and thus be better prepared for changes – or surrender to uncertainty, and build success out of a risk environment. [...]
Approaching an X-Event in the Forrest Industry by Wilenius Markku Presented at the Global X-Network Annual Conference in Vienna April 2014 Download Presentation
Theoretical research at The X-Center will encompass studies of how complexity science can be used to understand the foregoing diagram. This will entail developing a deeper understanding of the different notions of complexity applicable to specific social situations, how the mood of the population biases the events that actually occur from among the spectrum of [...]
X-Events in Social Processes At a random moment in time, the generic behavior of any social system is to be in a trending pattern. In other words, if you ask how will things look tomorrow, the answer is that they will be just a bit better or a bit worse than today, depending on whether [...]
Suomi Mood Indicator Key questions being addressed: What is the dynamics of the society? How can we anticipate discontinuous shifts in the dynamics? What kinds of politics and communications is feasible in the current situation? Our collaboration partners are the Ministry of Defence and Ministry of Interior of Finland. Also this project is conducted in [...]
