Uncertainty Scan
Uncertainty focused Delphi has been developed for scanning for potentially disruptive drivers of the operating environment. This is a major difference to the traditional Delphi study that focuses on looking for a consensus of the expert panel about future developments.
Principle
The web-based scan collects all the potential drivers of the operating environment from the group of experts. The megatrends and trends are reported but the focus of the analysis is on uncertainties, those drivers with low probability but high impact.